Tuesday, January 21, 2020

Rapids Announce Trialists With Some Interesting Names

Today the Rapids announced their preseason roster including all the trialists in camp.  Lets break them down with their chances of making the team or not.

First will start with the two draftees:
Jeremy Kelly - RB/DM
Kelly was our first round pick, in that we traded our pick for the GAM we needed to trade for Kelly after he was taken 2 picks before us.  He would provide cover for Rosenberry, allowing us to loan Anderson out to the Springs for more experience, and would be additional depth at DM.
Probability of making the team: HIGH

Robin Afamefuna - LB
Afamefuna was our second round pick in the draft.  He does fit into an area where we have less depth, only Vines and Wynne, but neither of them really need time in the Springs, unlike Anderson on the right.  While Kelly comes into camp with an obvious spot to claim, Afamefuna is on the outside looking in.  He's going to have to impress the coaches to get a spot on the roster:
Probability of making the team: LOW

Along with those two there are seven trialists in camp.
Andres Alarcon - CB
An 18 year old currently playing with Argentinos Jr. who popped up on the radar while the scouting team was in Argentina scouting Galvan (and others).  I've heard there's some real interest in Alarcon but at 18 there's no given that he'll develop to MLS level.  Still, travelling all the way here for a preseason trial is indicitive of some potential.
Probability of making the team: HIGH (likely with a plan to be loaned to the Springs)

Jacob Hauser-Ramsey - CB
Hauser-Ramsey was a second round pick by the Rapids last season.  He spent the preseason injured, then played for Memphis in USL in 2019.  Obviously the Rapids want to take a second look now that he's healthy but he's got a hill to climb.  There's a lot of defender competition in camp this year and we already have four players clearly in front of him for depth (Abubakar, Trusty, Ford, and Moor).
Probability of making the team: LOW

Brian Lopez - DM
Another Argentinian find, Kelly is currently playing with Racing Club.  He's 20 years old and caught the eye of the scouts on the Argentina scouting trip.  We don't need a DM right now,  but we don't have a young DM coming through the system at the moment so there's a hole to fill for the future.
Probability of making the team: MEDIUM

Kwadwo Poku - AM
Poku was originally found by the Sounders while playing in the lower leagues with Atlanta, but his rights were traded to NYCFC, where he made 34 appearances in 2015 and 2016.  He then ended up with Miami FC in the NASL, had a cup of coffee in Russia, and then played last year with the Tampa Bay Rowdies.  He's also been capped 3 times for Ghana.  He's trying to work himself back to MLS and the Rapids don't have a ton of attacking mid depth.  Still at 28 years old he's peaking in his career and that has largely not been at MLS level.
Probability of making the team: LOW

Abraham Rodriguez - GK
Rodriguez is an Academy product that signed for the Switchbacks last season, but that does not preclude us from signing him as a homegrown player.  As the only unsigned keeper in camp and with us needing a third keeper there seems to be an obvious fit.
Probability of making the team: VERY HIGH (with a year long loan to the Springs)

Will Vint - CM
Possibly the most interesting name on the list, and the hardest to evaluate.  Vint was raised in Colorado Springs but did not go through the Rapids academy.  At 15 he was signed by the Manchester United Academy after his father got a job in the UK.  He spent almost two years there, getting over 3000 minutes in over 50 matches for the United youth teams before issues with his family's visas had them returning to the States.  He joined the Atlanta Academy in 2018 but has now moved back to Colorado.  Multiple sources have him already part of the Rapids Academy though I don't know if that's official.  He'll be 19 in October, which will be about the time he'll reportedly qualify as a homegrown player for the Rapids.  My expectation is that we'll essentially promise him a spot on the 2021 team, assuming he continues to play at the expected level in the Academy, maybe get him some time in the Springs.
Probability of making the team: LOW (for this preseason)

Darren Yapi - F
Yapi is a 15 year old attacker from the Academy.  He's been brought to LA to get his first taste of professional experience.  I don't think he's in serious consideration for a roster spot yet.
Probability of making the team: LOW

So I'm predicting Rodriguez, Kelly, and Alarcon to be signed (in descending order of confidence) with Lopez having a shot to make the team.  The rest would be a surprise unless they think they can't wait on Vint.  Poku being signed wouldn't be a complete shock, though I don't expect it.

Monday, January 20, 2020

Welcome To Preseason

After three days of preseason check in, physicals, fitness tests, and media work in Commerce City the Rapids fly out to Carson, CA for a month long preseason camp before the season starts on Feb. 29th in DC (5 weeks from Saturday!).  There hasn't been much news out of the gathering at the Dick but reportedly Kortne Ford is fit and ready to battle for playing time, which is great news.

As always we kickoff preseason with our first look at the camp roster.  As of right now its just the list of signed players and draftees.  I expect at we start getting reports out of Carson we'll hear of other players in camp, either Academy players, Switchbacks hoping to move up, or MLS free agents trying to catch on with the team.  The name most likely to appear IMO is goalkeeper Abe Rodriguez of the Switchbacks and Rapids Academy.  Colorado only has two GKs on the roster, so the third spot is ripe to be filled by a young player like Rodriguez.  One note, this list won't include Braian Galvan unless a deal is made to bring him in during this window.

Roster as of 1/20:

Goalkeepers:
Clint Irwin
Andre Rawls

Defenders:
Lalas Abubakar
Sebastian Anderson - Homegrown Player
Kortne Ford
Drew Moor
Keegan Rosenberry
Abdul Rwatubyaye - International
Auston Trusty
Sam Vines - HG
Danny Wilson - International
Deklan Wynne

Midfielders:
Kellyn Acosta - Homegrown Player
Cole Bassett - Homegrown Player
Nicolas Mezquida - International
Younes Namli - International, Designated Player
Jack Price - International

Wingers:
Nicolas Benezet - International
Jonathan Lewis
Sam Nicholson

Forwards:
Matt Hundley - Homegrown Player
Niki Jackson
Kei Kamara
Diego Rubio
Andre Shinyashiki - International

That's 25 signed players, with a 26 coming, for 30 roster slots.  We're at one DP out of a possible 3, and 7 internationals out of a possible 6, so expect somebody like Rwatubyaye to spend the season in the Springs again.

Thursday, January 16, 2020

Rapids Make It A Hat-Trick Of Signings In As Many Days

For the third day in a row the Rapids announced a signing.  This time its the oft-rumored Braian Galvan from Colon in Argentina.  The announcement is a pre-contract signing with Galvan joining the team in the summer window.  Players currently under contract can sign a contract with a new team once they're within 6 months of the end of their contract, with the transfer happening in the first window after the expiration of their current contract.  Galvan is out of contract in June, so he could sign a contract starting in December and would be able to join us in July.

At the time of the announcement there was hope that we could come to a deal to buy him from Colon in the winter window and have him join the team in preseason.  That hope seems to have died tonight as Colon has released a letter claiming that we illegally signed Galvan before he was eligible to sign a pre-contract.  I'm reading things through Google Translate so my take on the situation is a bit hit or miss, but this article makes it seem that Colon is claiming that because he was injured and not able to play he hadn't actually fulfilled his contract yet and as such, wasn't in the last 6 months of his contract.

Quite simply, that's a joke if accurate and will never hold up to any ruling from FIFA and probably not even from the Argentinian FA, who they're partitioning.  This is pretty clearly a face saving move by Colon as their fans were not pleased when they learned they were losing one of the "jewels" of their club on a free because their leadership dropped the ball and let him get into the six month window without securing his long-term rights.  At worst I expect the Rapids to toss a little money Colon's way to make this issue go away, but they might not even get that.

I'm pretty sure that's going to be the end of the news this week, at least until players report to Commerce City for physicals on Saturday before they head to California on Tuesday.  Over the weekend I'll have my normal camp roster up and an analysis of where we stand and what moves we may still need to make.

Wednesday, January 15, 2020

Rapids Make Back To Back Signings On Back To Back Days

As had been heavily rumored, Colorado signed both Younes Namli and Nicolas Benezet this week.  Benezet was reportedly signed to a two year deal while Namli is here on a two year loan with an option to buy.  Salaries and transfer fees have not been released or leaked yet, though I expect them to be in the rumored ballpark.

Both these moves should pay dividends.  Benezet has already shown he can play in MLS with his time in Toronto and should fit right in as a starting winger.  Namli will be the obvious starter in the attacking midfield, and while he hasn't experienced MLS yet coming out of Europa League play is a good baseline to start from.  The loan makes this a low risk, high reward move.  If things don't work out its an easy separation and since the option to buy is in the loan deal if Namli hits (the more likely scenario) we already have an agreed on price.

Padraig Smith talked about more deals in the works, specifically targeting a young player in Argentina.  This matches with the rumored acquisition of Brian Galvan, which seems to be hung up on negotiating his release in the winter window instead of bringing him in on a free in the summer window.  Regardless I don't expect him to make a major impact early in the season so while it would be great to have him as soon as possible, not having him shouldn't be a blow to our hopes.

Kudos go out to the Front Office for making all our major signings are done before camp opens next week.  Many FO's in the past seemed to scramble and just start their offseason work when camp opened, not finish it by then.  We're currently at 25 of 30 players, one extra international, and plenty of time to fill in around the edges.  Its nice to be this comfortable entering the preseason.

Monday, January 13, 2020

Rapids Pass On Rest Of Superdraft

The Rapids passed with all three of their picks in rounds 3 and 4 of the Superdraft today.  Not a shock, more than half the teams passed on at least one pick.  There's just not value any more this low in the draft.  MLS should reduce it to two rounds for now and eventually phase it out in favor of another allocation list style ranking when the league gets to 30 or so teams.

Sunday, January 12, 2020

Rapids Have Apparently Signed Winger Nicolas Benezet

There have been multiple reports today that the Rapids have signed 29 year old (next month) winger/attacking midfielder Nicolas Benezet.  The reports include Benezet himself retweeting the reports, so that's about as close to confirmation as you can get before its official.

Nicolas Benezet plays for EA Guingamp in France's Ligue 2 but spent the last 6 months on loan to Toronto, where he scored a number of critical goals in their MLS Cup campaign.  He was hopeful of moving full-time to TFC but the automatic buy clause in his loan was triggered after 6 regular season starts, and after his 5th start he came off the bench for the last 3 games of the season before starting all of TFC's playoff games.  Draw your own conclusions.

The rumored cost for Benezet is $500K to EA Guingamp and Benezet is expected to make around $600K.  This will make him a TAM player, not a DP.  We will also be sending $50K of GAM to Toronto to his rights, plus up to another $50K of GAM if he hits certain incentives.

This is a really solid deal for the Rapids, who apparently beat out Vancouver, Cincinnati, and Fake Salt Lake for his signature.  I expect on opening day that our starting wingers will now be Benezet and Lewis with Nicholson and Shinyashiki as subs (and maybe Galvan if that rumor is accurate).  This will generate a high amount of competition in training camp and week to week in training between those four players for starting roles and minutes, which will help the young players.

I expect this puts an end to our chase of Ligue 2 winger Jimmy Cabot.  The rumor was that we could get him on a free in the summer and Lorient didn't want to sell him, seeing him as too critical to their championship push.  With four wingers already and a possible fifth in Galvan, I can't see us signing a DP winger now.

This could be a busy week for the Rapids, with talk of Namli and Galvan growing stronger and players reporting to Commerce City next Saturday for physicals before flying off to camp in California a week from tomorrow.  I expect at least two of these three names to be announced by then, and possibly all three.  Should they be signed I'd guess we have the vast majority of our 2020 roster set, with only a little playing around the edges left.

Thursday, January 9, 2020

Superdraft Results

It didn't come as expected, but the Rapids got their man today.  We said yesterday that it appeared Colorado was zeroing in on North Carolina RB/DM Jeremy Kelly, apparently Montreal knew that too.  After an on-again off-again trade with Minnesota for the 9th pick Montreal kept it and selected Kelly, two picks in front of the Rapids.  Padraig Smith and his team then decided there wasn't anyone else of interest at #11 and traded the pick to Gary Smith and company in Nashville for $75K of GAM.

But wait, maybe (well, probably) they knew something we didn't.  They the immediately turned around and traded $75K of GAM to Montreal...for Jeremy Kelly.  Somehow the Rapids essentially traded up from #11 to #9 at no cost to them.  Well done by the Front Office on that one.

With the 11th pick in the 2nd round the Rapids took defender Robin Afamefuma out of Virginia.

Both Kelly and Afamefuma were born in Europe (Czech Republic and Germany respectively) but Kelly moved to the States when he was 10 and is an American citizen.  I believe Afamefuma would require an international slot, which me's he's got a hill to climb to make the team.  Right now I project him to sign with the Switchbacks, not the Rapids.

Wednesday, January 8, 2020

MLS Superdraft and Young DP

Two big areas to cover today.  First, tomorrow is the MLS Superdraft.  It kind of snuck up on us with the holidays and the lack of a combine this year.

The Rapids have the 11th pick in all four rounds, as well as the 9th pick in the fourth round (from the Azira trade).  I'm hearing that the Rapids are focusing on Jeremy Kelly, a DM/RB out of North Carolina with their first pick.  He would be good cover for Rosenberry and allow Anderson more time to mature into the role as well as providing extra flexibility in the midfield if needed.

The rest of the picks are unlikely to amount to anything given the track history of recent drafts.  There certainly could be a diamond in the rough out there but the odds are against it.  Likely we'll find some good players to stock the Switchbacks with and maybe in a couple of years we'll look back and see we found a solid MLS player.

On the Young Designated Player front, we seem to have our player, if reports out of Argentina are accurate.  We have apparently signed Brian Galvan from Athletico Colon, a 19 year old midfielder.  The situation seems to be that Galvan is out of contract in June.  Players are allowed to sign future contracts once they're within 6 months of the end of their current contract.  Colon seems to have lost track of Galvan's contract status and allowed him to get into that 6 month window without locking him down for the future.  The Rapids apparently swooped in and got him signed before Colon realized their mistake.

Needless to say their fans are not pleased.  There is currently negotiations going on between the Rapids and Colon to buy him now and get him here in preseason instead of waiting for the summer transfer window.  It would be great to get him in now but that has to be balanced against how much its worth paying to get a young DP for the first half of the season when you know he;s showing up in July.

Galvan has only made 8 appearances for Colon in his career so far.  He suffered a knee injury 9 months or so ago that's kept him out but he's made 4 appearances in the last month and a half or so, according to Transfermarkt.  I expect that this is a move like Barco was for Atlanta, not expected to be an immediate impact but a long-term move.  Either he becomes a star for the Rapids or he becomes an asset we can sell on for more money than we paid for him.