Thursday, October 31, 2024

Rapids Season Likely Finishes Tomorrow Night


I hate to start off so negative but all signs point to the Rapids being swept out of the playoffs tomorrow night.  The injury report isn't particularly hopeful and we haven't played well in two months.  Still, that's why they play the games.  Worst case we get one more chance to support the Burgundy Boys at home this season and hopefully we get our first playoff goal in 8 years.  Kickoff tomorrow is at 7:30pm and C38 will be doing one last-full tailgate to finish off the season.

(If you're wondering the Rapids could host another game if they faced Vancouver in the Western Conference final or Atlanta, NYCFC, or RBY in MLS Cup.  All of that is VERY unlikely though.)

Player Availability:
OUT: D Michael Edwards (back)
QUESTIONABLE: M Cole Bassett (quad), M Djordje Mihailovic (ankle)

Bassett was not on the injury report for Game 1 so he's essentially been downgraded this week, while Mihailovic has been upgraded from Out to Questionable.  Reports from training have been that Djordje has been training with the full team and could start while Cole has still be training on his own on the side and might be available off the bench.  In reality he hasn't played in 5 games so there's no way we could expect much more than 20-30 minutes out of him at best.


I think DM gets the start and Bassett will likely be on the bench, but we won't see him unless we need a goal.  Otherwise the rest of the starters are fairly straight-forward.

Prediction: 2-1 loss, goal by Mihailovic.  Things are just too stacked against us to expect anything other than a loss.  We'll keep it much closer than we did in LA, but in the end LA has better talent and will have it all on the field, unlike us.  Plus they've had our number this season.

Wednesday, October 30, 2024

J2-League Soccer!

As mentioned last week the weekend of the Austin game I was in Japan and I attended JEF United Chiba's J2-League home match against Ventforet Kofu.  I figured some people would appreciate a recap.

JEF United Chiba, as you can guess from the name, is based in Chiba. Chiba Prefecture.  They play at Fukuda Denshi Arena, which is about a 10 minute walk from Soga Station.  From there its a 45 minute train ride over the full length of JR East's Keiyo Line into central Tokyo.


One of the reasons I chose this game to go to is that of the games being played in the Tokyo area that weekend it was one of the most easily accessible.  Tokyo's transit system is possibly the most complex in the world and while the trains are navigable without a real understanding of Japanese the bus system is infamously not.  Most of the other games that weekend required a transfer by bus to get within reasonable walking distance.

JEF United Chiba was founded as Furukawa Electric SC when professional soccer was started in Japan after WWII and was one of the original 8 members of the Japan Soccer League in 1965 and were the only team never to be relegated from the JSL.  In 1992 they merged with the JR East Railway company team and through a series of name changes ended up with JEF (combining initials from JR East and Furukawa Electric) United Chiba.  JEF was relegated for the first time in its history in 2009 and has played in the J2 league since then, having failed to win the promotion playoff multiple times.

Not surprising since JR East is a half-owner of the team Soga Station is decked out in JEF colors and logos:


(Those were actually taken on my way back to the station after the game)

There's also some nice tilework inside the station

There's no "tailgating" culture that I could see in Japan.  In JEF's case the pregame is held on a large plaza outside the stadium with entertainment and food arranged by the team.  A number of vendors are set up and for this game the entertainment included some comedians from a Japanese reality TV show and a group of flutists who also danced, among other things.  I didn't spend that much time outside the stadium before going in.  I walked over to the team store (the club HQ with the main store is across the street from the stadium) and was going to get some food but decided that I would try my luck in the stadium rather than deal with the long line at the food truck outside.

The team's trophy cabinet in the team HQ





Some shots from around the stadium

No metal detectors here, just a quick bag check and I was in.  First thing I did was to scope out the food options in my area of the stadium.  There were many and they were cheap.  J-League scran has the reputation it does for a reason.

I ended up going with the chicken curry and naan option.  1000 yen, which with the current exchange rate is about $7.50.  The odd thing was that there was nowhere really to eat it so I took it to my seat and had to balance it on my lap.  Thus the less than stunning picture:


Its hard to tell but that naan bread was dinner plate sized and it was a good amount of chicken curry in that bowl.  A steal at $7.50.  I did see at half that there were some narrow counters set up along the railings of the exterior concourse I could have used as a table but it was too late by then.

Now, on to the actual soccer.  JEF is once again fighting for a promotion playoff spot while Kofu is settled solidly in midtable.  So there was much more on the line for the home team.  The area was fairly full for this match, it seats just under 20K (so a little bigger than the Dick).  Its the more traditional two-level bowl and my seat was right above the tunnel.  The price was 5500 yen, or about $35-$40 depending on exchange rate:



And a panorama shortly before kickoff:


The JEF supporters were in full force behind the north goal and a large contingent of Kofu fans made the 3 our train ride to set up behind the South goal:

I'll say this, I've never heard a louder crowd at any soccer match as I did here.  Both sets of fans were chanting in unison throughout the game in a way that would put even the Timbers Army and their "P T F C" chant to shame.  There was a point about the 66th minute where both supporters groups happened to stop their chanting at the same time and my ears were ringing in the sudden (relative) silence.

The first half of the game was a pretty meh scoreless draw, and the first part of the second half looked like the game was going to continue that way:
My halftime selfie
In the 67th minute Kofu would break through.  A good header was parried by the JEF keeper but would fall to Kofu's Brazilian winger/striker Adailton who easily put away the rebound.  This was, perhaps, the worst thing Kofu could of done.  Up until that point it seemed like both teams were going to muddle through to a 0-0 draw but giving up a goal seems to have pissed JEF off.  Between the 70th and 86th minute the home side would put the ball in the back of the net 4 times.  Now the first and the third would be ruled off due to offside but that meant 2 of them still counted.

The first, in the 76th minute, was after a good spell of possession by Chiba.  A wormburner shot from well outside the box by a JEF midfielder was chipped up and over the Kofu keeper by Yokoyama.  It went off the underside of the bar and over the line to level the score.  The second, in the 86th minute, came from a nice cross floated to the back post by KEF's star striker Hiiro Komori.  Hiiro is in the running for the league golden boot but played setup man on this one.  Tanaka was waiting unmarked at the far post and took a one-time volley into the upper corner to put JEF into the lead.

With that win and a win last weekend JEF United Chiba is sitting in 4th with 2 games to play.  The top 2 are automatically promoted and then next 4 go into a promotion playoff.  While JEF could mathematically catch Nagasaki in 3rd its a 6 point gap so its highly unlikely.  Meanwhile 5th and 6th place are tied on points with JEF and 7th place is only 1 point behind.  That means there are 4 teams within1 point of the final 3 spots.  Its going to go down to the wire.  Luckily JEF has twice the goal differential of the other teams.

One final note, from the time I got on the train out to Chiba to the time I got back to Tokyo I only saw one Westerner.  He happened to be sitting right next to me at the match.  He showed up just after kickoff and was professionally dressed (slacks, polo, business style bag).  He immediately pulled out a pad and started making notes and tracking players.  He didn't say anything to me and my first read on him was Italian, or at least Mediterranean.  Later in the game he reached into his bag and pulled out an iPad and i was able to see that the language was set to Italian so apparently my read was correct.  He left in stoppage time.  So if you see a Japanese player heading to a team in Italy, this game could be the reason.

Monday, October 28, 2024

Pitiful

In his pre-game interview on MLS Season Pass Chris Armas said that they felt if they got 2 goals they could win the match.  It wouldn't have been close to enough given that we lost 5-0.  Oh, and the team managed a combined 1 shot, not even on target, so I have no idea how Armas thought we were going to score 2 goals on Saturday night.

I understand we were down arguably 3 of our best 4 players this season (Mihailovic, Basset, and Bombito, leaving only Navarro).  I know this was our 42nd competitive game this season and Maxso, Steffen, Rosenberry and Navarro have all played over a full season's worth of minutes already, with Larraz and Ronan getting close.  I understand that we're the 7th seed and LA is much better than us, especially at home.

None of that excuses giving up 5 goals, our worst ever playoff loss (and one off our worst ever loss) and only answering with a measly shot.  Its like the team didn't even bother to get on the plane to LA.  Heck, if we had done that it would have only been a 3-0 official forfeit.  This has happened far too often this season (6 times we've lost by 4 or more, most since 2014) and it would be nice to see some spine and fight from the team instead of completely giving up in these games.

The good news, if there is any, is that aggregate score doesn't matter.  We wipe the slate clean and if we win the next two we advance.  No, I don't really expect that to happen but there's at least a shot.  Even if we lose Friday night and our season ends we at least have a chance to go out playing better than that.  At the very least lets at least get our first playoff goal since 2016.

Friday, October 25, 2024

OG Playoff Matchup


My apologies for my silence.  As I mentioned I wasn't going to have a preview for the Austin match and that's because I was in Tokyo on vacation.  If you follow me on Twitter/BlueSky you saw my live-thread of going to see a J2-League matchup between JEF United Chiba and Ventforet Kofu at this time last week.  I'll have a writeup of that here next week.  My plan was to get home On Tuesday and do an Austin post-game Tuesday night or Wednesday but I brought a head cold home with me and this is the first time in the last 72 hours where I could focus on writing something so we'll go straight to the playoff preview.

Tomorrow night we're on the road in LA-LA land for the first of the best of 3 series against the Galaxy.  This is an OG Western Conference playoff matchup between the only two teams to have played all 29 seasons in the Western Conference.  It was also for a long-time the most played competitive fixture (including regular season, playoffs, USOC, etc.) between MLS teams.  I haven't seen an update to that list in close to 10 years though so I don't know if it's still the case.  Regardless these are two teams that know each other quite well.  The Galaxy are also the last team we've beaten in the playoffs, going back to that epic series in 2016.  Kickoff tomorrow is at 9pm so plan for a late night.  And remember, in the best of 3 series there are no ties.  If its level after 90 minutes we go straight to a PK shootout to determine a winner.

Player Availability:
OUT: M Djordje Mihailovic (ankle)

Not a surprise after what happened in Austin to see Sjordje out for this one.  All signs point to him being prepped to return Friday night.  Great to see Bassett and Steffen back as well as Cabral.


I think Armas will use Bassett at the 10 but I'd prefer to see him at his normal 8 and maybe use Yapi up front with Navarro.  Cabral won't start but he'll be the first option off the bench.

Prediction: 2-1 loss, goal by Navarro.  So far this season we've lost 3-2 and 3-1 to the Galaxy and I don't see that changing tomorrow.  We should try to play this like we played the Club America game, being satisfied with a scoreless draw and trying to win it in PKs but I don't think we'll be successful at that.  Once LA gets one and forces us to attack they'll find a second.  We'll get one back but it won't be enough.

Monday, October 7, 2024

Rapids Lose But Will Still Host Playoff Game

Colorado played the same sort of game they've been playing, and got the same result, 0 points.  In this case they held Seattle to just a single goal but that was enough.  In the second half Rosenberry tried to pass to Larraz around midfield but the ball was a bit behind Oli.  He stabbed at it and the deflection bounced right into Morris' path.  He went in one on one with Steffen but Zack was able to make the save.  Unfortunately the ball feel to Rusnak and with Zack on the ground he had an open goal to look at.  Maxso was able to deflect it but not far enough to stop it from going in.  After the game Keegan took responsibility for the poor pass that started the sequence.

The problem continues to be a lack of creativity on offense.  The heavy legs and absence of Bassett has made it really difficult to score.  Luckily Cole said he'll be back for Austin which is good, because we'll likely need a result there.

The good news is on Sunday Portland played a scoreless draw with Dallas, which meant they can no longer catch us in the standings.  That ensures at least a top 8 finish and a home playoff game.  The next step is to avoid the play-in/wild-card game.  To do that the Rapids need to beat Austin or Minnesota needs to not beat St. Louis.  We can also avoid it with a draw and a Houston loss OR Vancouver not winning both remaining matches.  With a loss in Austin we need Vancouver to lose one of their remaining two or draw both of them.  Vancouver has a game next Sunday during the international break so we could be sure of avoiding the play-in game by then if they lose that match.

Not beating Austin likely means we finish 7th at best or keep our current 6th if we get lucky.  A win means we'll stay in 6th and could get to 5th if Houston doesn't beat the Galaxy.  We can't get into the top 4 and get home-field advantage in the first round.  Assuming we avoid the playin game we would start on the road the weekend of October 26th & 27th, have our home match the following weekend (Nov 2nd/3rd) and game 3 if needed on the weekend of Nov 9th/10th.  If we fall into the play-in game we would host that on Wednesday October 23rd most likely.

And with that we have a much needed two weeks off before Austin.  Odds are I'll be fairly quiet for those two weeks as I don't expect anything to happen this week and next week I have family things going on.  In fact, don't expect a game preview for the Austin game but I'll have a recap afterwards and a playoff preview that week after.

Friday, October 4, 2024

(Hopefully?) Not The Last Home Game Of The Season


Tomorrow night is the home finale of the regular season but barring a complete Couging in the last two games we should have a home match in the playoffs.  We only need to draw one of the two games or have Portland not win both of their games to get a home game (and even if neither of those happen if Minnesota or Vancouver fail to win both of their games we'd still get a home game).  We do need 3 points to avoid the play-in game though, which is a bit more precarious so it would be good to get that taken care fo tomorrow.  Its going to be tough with a hot Seattle team and a still missing Cole Bassett though.  Kickoff is at 7:30 tomorrow and beforehand C38 is hosting their first Tailgate Brewfest with 8 local breweries.

Player Availability:
OUT: M Cole Bassett (quad), M Kevin Cabral (elbow)

Whatever the "precaution" that they were supposedly holding Bassett out for sure looks more like a "he's hurt but we don't want to tell anyone" at this point.


This is the exact same prediction I made for Wednesday but I don't see how this is that different than what we'll see except maybe on the wings.  We have to put our best players out there, regardless of miles on the legs, and try to get a result.

Prediction: 2-2, goals by Navarro and Mihailovic.  This seems really optimistic at this point and the 2-2 score line is becoming my go to but I can't predict a win and I can't predict a good defensive performance the way this team is playing.  I'm hopeful that the final home match and Seattle being a little tired from the 3rd game in a week will be enough to push us to at least a draw and clinching that playoff home match.  I'd hate to go into Austin in two weeks needing a result to avoid 9th place.

Thursday, October 3, 2024

A Rapids Game That Went To The Dogs


Woof.  This is going to be a short recap because there's not much to say.  This team is out of energy and it shows.  After a decent first half where they got a goal just before the break from Conor Ronan they came out of the locker room flat and let the Galaxy score 3 transition goals against them.  There's just too many minutes in their legs and we are stumbling to the finish line.  It is concerning we're seeing the same defensive issues in transition in game 32 as we saw in game 1 though.  There's clearly a flaw in our defensive scheme that can be capitalized on.  It was also the first loss at home in 12 matches which wasn't great.

With the third loss in the last four games the Rapids have dropped to 6th place.  After last night's results:

1 point gained by Colorado or lost by Portland clinches a home playoff game

3 points gained by Colorado or lost by Minnesota keeps us out of the play-in game

2 points gained by LAFC or lost by Colorado eliminates us from finishing above 3rd (and having home-field advantage in the second round)

Winning out now only gets us to 5th without help.  We need other results to go our way in order to get back to the top 4 and home-field advantage in the first round

Realistically based on our play I think a 6th place finish and being eliminated in a 3-game first round series is the most likely outcome.  Still a far more successful season than expected but hard to see us going out with a whimper like this.

Really hard to pick a man of the match in these games.  The team is just so dead nobody really stands out.

Tuesday, October 1, 2024

Colorado Needs To Find 3 Points Against Galaxy Tomorrow


With only one win in the last three games the Rapids are on the cusp of a tailspin, something they need to stop tomorrow night in Commerce City.  It won't be easy as the Western Conference leading Galaxy (and second overall in the league) are in town.  The Galaxy can't quite clinch the West with a win but they can get very close.  If Colorado can't get the 3 points tomorrow there's a good chance they drop out of the top 4 and have to start worrying about avoiding the play-in game (there's only 5 points between the Rapids and 9th place).  Kickoff is at 7:30.

Player Availability:
OUT: M Cole Bassett (quad), M Kevin Cabral (elbow)
QUESTIONABLE: GK Adam Beaudry (upper body)

We heard over the weekend that Bassett was being held out of the Minnesota game as a precaution, but having him out again tomorrow night sounds a bit more serious than precautionary.  Good to see Sam Vines available for selection again though.


I don't think Vines goes right back into the starting XI, he'll need some training time under him.  I also think we saw the limitations of Yapi on Saturday and we'll got back to more natural wingers for this one.  Otherwise this is fairly straight forward.

Prediction: 2-2 draw, goals by Navarro and Harris.  Based on what we've seen recently I'm not sure we have the legs to keep up with the Galaxy.  The home advantage will help and I think we can battle to a draw but I'd be surprised picking up all 3 points.  A loss is more likely than a win IMO.